Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.246017 3.491848 3.757541 4.067884 4.422834 4.819075 5.299082
2025-12-07 2.816646 3.133609 3.496481 3.948669 4.505963 5.182945 6.088536
2025-12-14 2.538194 2.879440 3.283634 3.807762 4.485507 5.357319 6.610096
2025-12-21 2.391178 2.758059 3.205559 3.806693 4.619025 5.722671 7.427087
2025-12-28 2.262742 2.644275 3.120660 3.779300 4.702901 6.018942 8.190066
2026-01-04 2.117603 2.497039 2.978559 3.657995 4.636601 6.081379 8.590292
2026-01-11 2.034658 2.422923 2.924525 3.648588 4.723787 6.378544 9.437622
2026-01-18 1.991327 2.396563 2.930345 3.720493 4.935035 6.897192 10.813867
2026-01-25 2.097945 2.575054 3.226875 4.239837 5.908416 8.895081 16.012284
2026-02-01 1.974479 2.431589 3.059992 4.044877 5.687467 8.684565 16.086563
2026-02-08 1.854566 2.288234 2.886529 3.828781 5.411536 8.331866 15.698895
2026-02-15 1.794269 2.225596 2.826626 3.786267 5.431490 8.566992 16.994556
2026-02-22 1.730157 2.161551 2.770911 3.762455 5.511817 9.005243 19.348337
2026-03-01 1.646177 2.066379 2.665293 3.652266 5.427848 9.091325 20.744185
2026-03-08 1.566358 1.973219 2.557088 3.528625 5.302992 9.059511 21.737371
2026-03-15 1.523938 1.931898 2.524451 3.527642 5.410601 9.592656 25.460299
2026-03-22 1.479374 1.885208 2.480630 3.503474 5.468858 10.022910 29.354466
2026-03-29 1.418648 1.812271 2.392529 3.396270 5.346874 9.962060 30.738562
2026-04-05 1.384665 1.777548 2.362252 3.387945 5.427715 10.468727 36.336909
2026-04-12 1.368764 1.768933 2.372307 3.451537 5.669018 11.511345 48.767946
2026-04-19 1.431919 1.882435 2.585006 3.908040 6.882905 16.387208 177.940330
2026-04-26 1.370061 1.800913 2.472669 3.737237 6.578864 15.644526 168.141981
2026-05-03 1.307178 1.716353 2.352909 3.547125 6.214181 14.604561 142.512426